Livingston vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (44.9 vs 44.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

The attacking output of Livingston and Kilmarnock is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.8 and 1.7 goals per game respectively.

Kilmarnock holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.5 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Livingston's leaky backline that surrenders 1.3 goals per match.

Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Kilmarnock is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Livingston shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kilmarnock. In practical terms, Kilmarnock would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Kilmarnock has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.1-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-17), Kilmarnock prevailed 1-4 against Livingston. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Kilmarnock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Livingston shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Kilmarnock completely dominated Livingston in that encounter, raising serious questions about Livingston's ability to compete at this level. Livingston will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kilmarnock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.