Livingston vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.9 vs 53.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Livingston (1.8 goals per match) and St. Mirren (1.7 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, St. Mirren holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Livingston's 1.3.

St. Mirren has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Mirren is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Mirren has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for St. Mirren. In practical terms, St. Mirren would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

St. Mirren has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-04-25), Livingston prevailed 0-2 against St. Mirren. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Livingston achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against St. Mirren shows genuine quality and mental strength. St. Mirren will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Livingston will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.