Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.5 vs 43.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Haverfordwest possess a formidable attacking unit, with D. Hawkins accounting for 4 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 1.5 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Haverfordwest holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.7 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Llanelli Town's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Llanelli Town has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Haverfordwest has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Haverfordwest has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Llanelli Town is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Haverfordwest has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Haverfordwest is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Llanelli Town shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 30.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Haverfordwest. In practical terms, Haverfordwest would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Haverfordwest holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 55.3 against 24.7 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Haverfordwest a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-04-18), Haverfordwest prevailed 6-0 against Llanelli Town. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Haverfordwest secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 6-0 scoreline was emphatic — Haverfordwest completely dominated Llanelli Town in that encounter, raising serious questions about Llanelli Town's ability to compete at this level. Llanelli Town will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haverfordwest will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-02-20), Haverfordwest prevailed 0-1 against Llanelli Town. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Haverfordwest achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Llanelli Town shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Llanelli Town will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haverfordwest will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.