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Compare Lossiemouth vs Forres

Lossiemouth vs Forres Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lossiemouth vs Forres: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lossiemouth Lossiemouth Home Team
Forres Forres Away Team
Lossiemouth
25.5
W D L W L L L L L L

Last 10 Matches

Forres
36.4
W L D L L W W D L L

Performance Radar

Lossiemouth
Forres

Categories Won

1

Lossiemouth

2

Draw

12

Forres

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 1D, 7L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-14

-14

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Harvey (2 goals)
C. Frame (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
32.4

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 37.3

35.2

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 42.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.54

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: +0.16

1.31

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.19

Adjusted Power Rating
25.5

Attack: 19.2, Defense: 24.7, Form: 16.5

36.4

Attack: 42.6, Defense: 34.1, Form: 25.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

6
Lossiemouth
Forres
Lossiemouth

Power Rating Breakdown

25.5

Overall

Attack 19.2
Defense 24.7
Form 16.5
Consistency 57.7
Forres

Power Rating Breakdown

36.4

Overall

Attack 42.6
Defense 34.1
Form 25.6
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 25.0

Opponent Quality

37.3 vs 42.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Lossiemouth logo Lossiemouth
W
Huntly (39%)
D
Strathspey (29%)
L
Keith (56%)
W
Rothes (15%)
L
Brora Rangers (30%)
L
Turriff Utd (40%)
L
Formartine Utd (58%)
L
Nairn (39%)
Forres logo Forres
W
Keith (51%)
L
Formartine Utd (58%)
D
Clachnacuddin (36%)
L
Brechin (28%)
L
Keith (56%)
W
Wick (28%)
W
Deveronvale (22%)
D
Turriff Utd (45%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Huntly H
1 - 0 W
39%
Strathspey H
1 - 1 D
29%
Keith A
0 - 5 L
56%
Rothes A
3 - 0 W
15%
Brora Rangers H
1 - 3 L
30%
Turriff Utd H
0 - 2 L
40%
Formartine Utd A
0 - 3 L
58%
Nairn A
0 - 1 L
39%
Huntly A
1 - 3 L
44%
Wick H
0 - 3 L
23%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Keith H
5 - 1 W
51%
Formartine Utd A
1 - 2 L
58%
Clachnacuddin H
1 - 1 D
36%
Brechin H
0 - 1 L
28%
Keith A
0 - 1 L
56%
Wick A
3 - 1 W
28%
Deveronvale A
2 - 1 W
22%
Turriff Utd A
2 - 2 D
45%
Buckie Thistle H
0 - 4 L
47%
Banks O' Dee A
1 - 4 L
49%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (32.4 vs 35.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Forres outperforms Lossiemouth with 1.5 goals per match to 0.7, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Forres holds the advantage — allowing just 1.8 goals per game against Lossiemouth's 2.1.

Lossiemouth has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Forres has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Lossiemouth is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Forres faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Lossiemouth can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 77% win probability for Forres. In practical terms, Forres would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Forres holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lossiemouth

Lossiemouth

VS
Forres

Forres

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Lossiemouth

2W 1D 7L · 7 goals scored · 21 conceded

Forres

3W 2D 5L · 15 goals scored · 18 conceded

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