Loughgall vs Ballyclare Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.8 vs 48.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Loughgall's attack is on another level, averaging 2.0 goals per match with P. McElroy leading the charge (2 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Loughgall — 1.5 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets put them well ahead of Ballyclare, who give up 5.3 goals per match at the other end.

Loughgall has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Ballyclare has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Loughgall is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 4.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Loughgall has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 6 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Ballyclare is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Loughgall is on the rise with 4W in last 6, while Ballyclare shows signs of decline with 0W in last 3.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Loughgall faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Ballyclare can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 31.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Loughgall. In practical terms, Loughgall would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Loughgall holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 56.4 against 24.8 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Loughgall a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-18), Loughgall prevailed 1-4 against Ballyclare. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Loughgall achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Ballyclare shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Loughgall completely dominated Ballyclare in that encounter, raising serious questions about Ballyclare's ability to compete at this level. Ballyclare will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Loughgall will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.