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Compare Loughgall vs Institute

Loughgall vs Institute Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Loughgall vs Institute: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Loughgall Loughgall Home Team
Institute Institute Away Team
Loughgall
56.4
W L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Institute
45.7
L L W

Performance Radar

Loughgall
Institute

Categories Won

7

Loughgall

3

Draw

5

Institute

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
67%

4W, 0D, 2L

33%

1W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

12 / 6 matches

1.7

5 / 3 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

9 / 6 matches

1.3

4 / 3 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
33%

2 / 6 matches

33%

1 / 3 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
83%

5 / 6 matches

100%

3 / 3 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

3 / 6 matches

67%

2 / 3 matches

Top Scorer
P. McElroy (2 goals)
P. Lynch (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Away Win Rate
100%

2W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3

46.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.11

1.45

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 63.9, Defense: 47.9, Form: 64.2

45.7

Attack: 54.7, Defense: 54.7, Form: 31.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

1

31-45'

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1
1

76-90+'

1
Loughgall
Institute
Loughgall

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 63.9
Defense 47.9
Form 64.2
Consistency 40.0
Institute

Power Rating Breakdown

45.7

Overall

Attack 54.7
Defense 54.7
Form 31.9
Consistency 40.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

46.3 vs 47.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Loughgall logo Loughgall
W
Dollingstown (41%)
L
Dungannon (57%)
W
Ballyclare (38%)
L
Cliftonville (56%)
W
Institute (44%)
W
Knockbreda (42%)
Institute logo Institute
L
Limavady Utd (49%)
L
Loughgall (53%)
W
Ballinamallard (41%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dollingstown A
3 - 0 W
41%
Dungannon H
1 - 4 L
57%
Ballyclare A
4 - 1 W
38%
Cliftonville H
0 - 3 L
56%
Institute H
2 - 1 W
44%
Knockbreda H
2 - 0 W
42%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Limavady Utd A
1 - 2 L
49%
Loughgall A
1 - 2 L
53%
Ballinamallard A
3 - 0 W
41%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.8 vs 46.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Loughgall leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Institute's 1.7 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Loughgall giving up 1.5 and Institute giving up 1.3 per fixture.

Loughgall has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Institute has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Loughgall is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Loughgall has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 6 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Institute is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Loughgall is on the rise with 4W in last 6, while Institute shows signs of decline with 1W in last 3.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Loughgall faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Institute can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 77% win probability for Loughgall. In practical terms, Loughgall would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Loughgall has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.7-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In the Irish Cup (2026-02-07), Loughgall eliminated Institute with a 2-1 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Loughgall showed they can handle the pressure. Loughgall secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Institute will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Loughgall will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Loughgall

Loughgall

VS
Institute

Institute

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Loughgall

4W 0D 2L · 12 goals scored · 9 conceded

Institute

1W 0D 2L · 5 goals scored · 4 conceded

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