Ludogorets vs PAOK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Ludogorets vs PAOK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Ludogorets
Home Team
PAOK
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Ludogorets
Draw
PAOK
Statistical Comparison
2W, 2D, 3L
4W, 4D, 2L
8 / 7 matches
19 / 10 matches
11 / 7 matches
12 / 10 matches
-3
+7
1 / 7 matches
2 / 10 matches
3 / 7 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 7 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 6 matches
0W / 3 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 83.0, Opponent Quality: 71.1
League Difficulty: 69.8, Opponent Quality: 61.8
1W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.28
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.23
Attack: 41.5, Defense: 52.8, Form: 32.8
Attack: 67.0, Defense: 63.5, Form: 42.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Ludogorets
PAOK
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.1 vs 55.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
PAOK holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Ludogorets's 1.1, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
PAOK's backline outperforms Ludogorets's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.
Ludogorets has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
PAOK has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Ludogorets is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: PAOK has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for PAOK. In practical terms, PAOK would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward PAOK, with a 13.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
These two teams drew 3-3 in the UEFA Europa League (2025-12-11). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Ludogorets
PAOK
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Ludogorets
2W 2D 3L · 8 goals scored · 11 conceded
PAOK
4W 4D 2L · 19 goals scored · 12 conceded
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