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Compare Luton vs Plymouth

Luton vs Plymouth Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Luton vs Plymouth: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Luton Luton Home Team
Plymouth Plymouth Away Team
Luton
73.1
W D W W W D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Plymouth
66.0
W W W W W D W D W L

Performance Radar

Luton
Plymouth

Categories Won

9

Luton

2

Draw

4

Plymouth

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
80%

8W, 2D, 0L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

+11

+11

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Palmer (5 goals)
L. Tolaj (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
100%

5W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

86%

6W / 7 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3

46.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.13

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.17

1.84

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
73.1

Attack: 73.4, Defense: 63.9, Form: 76.6

66.0

Attack: 64.3, Defense: 67.6, Form: 67.6

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

4
Luton
Plymouth
Luton

Power Rating Breakdown

73.1

Overall

Attack 73.4
Defense 63.9
Form 76.6
Consistency 80.8
Plymouth

Power Rating Breakdown

66.0

Overall

Attack 64.3
Defense 67.6
Form 67.6
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

46.3 vs 47.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Luton logo Luton
W
Al Kholood (35%)
D
Barnet (67%)
W
Bolton (60%)
W
Barnsley (43%)
W
Rotherham (42%)
D
Mansfield (57%)
W
Northampton (27%)
W
Stockport (54%)
Plymouth logo Plymouth
W
Truro (50%)
W
Torquay (59%)
W
Bath (44%)
W
Northampton (32%)
W
Port Vale (53%)
D
Bradford (50%)
W
Wimbledon (41%)
D
Exeter (42%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Al Kholood H
2 - 0 W
35%
Barnet A
2 - 2 D
67%
Bolton A
3 - 2 W
60%
Barnsley H
2 - 1 W
43%
Rotherham A
2 - 0 W
42%
Mansfield A
2 - 2 D
57%
Northampton H
2 - 1 W
27%
Stockport H
3 - 1 W
54%
Wimbledon A
3 - 0 W
41%
Peterborough H
2 - 1 W
37%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Truro A
1 - 0 W
50%
Torquay A
1 - 0 W
59%
Bath A
3 - 0 W
44%
Northampton A
3 - 2 W
32%
Port Vale H
2 - 1 W
53%
Bradford A
1 - 1 D
50%
Wimbledon A
3 - 1 W
41%
Exeter H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barnsley A
3 - 0 W
48%
Bolton H
1 - 2 L
56%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.8 vs 46.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of Luton and Plymouth is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.3 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.

Both defenses are comparable, with Luton conceding 1.0 and Plymouth conceding 0.9 per match.

Luton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Plymouth has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Luton has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Plymouth is a strong road performer with a 86% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Luton is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

🔥 Form Momentum: Plymouth is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Luton has won 8 of their last 5, while Plymouth has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Luton. In practical terms, Luton would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Luton has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.1-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Luton

Luton

VS
Plymouth

Plymouth

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Luton

8W 2D 0L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded

Plymouth

7W 2D 1L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded

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