Luton vs Port Vale Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Luton vs Port Vale: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Luton
Home Team
Port Vale
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Luton
Draw
Port Vale
Statistical Comparison
8W, 2D, 0L
5W, 2D, 3L
23 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
+13
+7
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 52.7
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.17
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.07
Attack: 73.4, Defense: 63.9, Form: 76.6
Attack: 49.8, Defense: 73.0, Form: 49.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Luton
Port Vale
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.8 vs 49.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Luton leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.3 goals per game compared to Port Vale's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Luton and Port Vale are evenly matched, allowing 1.0 and 0.8 goals per game respectively.
Luton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Port Vale has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Luton has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Port Vale is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
🔥 Form Momentum: Luton is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📈 Form Momentum: Port Vale has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Luton is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Port Vale shows signs of decline with 5W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Luton. In practical terms, Luton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Luton in this contest. Their superior power rating of 73.1, compared to 55.0 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Luton
Port Vale
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Luton
8W 2D 0L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded
Port Vale
5W 2D 3L · 15 goals scored · 8 conceded
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