Macarthur vs Melbourne City Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Macarthur vs Melbourne City: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Macarthur
Home Team
Melbourne City
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Macarthur
Draw
Melbourne City
Statistical Comparison
3W, 1D, 6L
5W, 2D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
-8
+2
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.4
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.05
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.08
Attack: 48.2, Defense: 22.5, Form: 28.9
Attack: 47.6, Defense: 53.9, Form: 47.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.4 vs 45.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Macarthur (1.5 goals per match) and Melbourne City (1.5 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Melbourne City — 1.3 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Macarthur, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.
Macarthur has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Melbourne City has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Melbourne City has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Melbourne City. In practical terms, Melbourne City would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Melbourne City, with a 13.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Macarthur
Melbourne City
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Macarthur
3W 1D 6L · 15 goals scored · 23 conceded
Melbourne City
5W 2D 3L · 15 goals scored · 13 conceded
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