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Compare Mainz 05 vs Alavés

Mainz 05 vs Alavés Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Alavés: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Alavés Alavés Away Team
Mainz 05
50.6
W L W L D L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Alavés
54.3
L W W D L W L D D W

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Alavés

Categories Won

3

Mainz 05

3

Draw

9

Alavés

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

0

0

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (4 goals)
Toni Martínez (9 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3

66.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

1.98

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.18

Adjusted Power Rating
50.6

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8

54.3

Attack: 70.1, Defense: 46.7, Form: 46.7

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

5

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

4
Mainz 05
Alavés
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.8
Consistency 38.8
Alavés

Power Rating Breakdown

54.3

Overall

Attack 70.1
Defense 46.7
Form 46.7
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.4 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
W
Heidenheim (67%)
L
Union Berlin (58%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (70%)
L
Strasbourg (62%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Alavés logo Alavés
L
Rayo (77%)
W
Oviedo (59%)
W
Barcelona (75%)
D
Elche (74%)
L
Athletic (57%)
W
Mallorca (66%)
L
Real Madrid (75%)
D
Real Sociedad (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
67%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
58%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
70%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
62%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
57%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
68%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rayo H
1 - 2 L
77%
Oviedo A
1 - 0 W
59%
Barcelona H
1 - 0 W
75%
Elche A
1 - 1 D
74%
Athletic H
2 - 4 L
57%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
66%
Real Madrid A
1 - 2 L
75%
Real Sociedad A
3 - 3 D
66%
Osasuna H
2 - 2 D
56%
Celta Vigo A
4 - 3 W
61%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 66.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Alavés holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Mainz 05's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Alavés conceding 1.8 per match.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Alavés

Alavés

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

Alavés

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

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