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Compare Mainz 05 vs Arsenal

Mainz 05 vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Arsenal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Arsenal Arsenal Away Team
Mainz 05
50.6
W L W L D L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Arsenal
69.3
D W W W W W D W L D

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Arsenal

Categories Won

6

Mainz 05

1

Draw

8

Arsenal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.5

5 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (4 goals)
V. Gyökeres (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 2
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3

68.2

League Difficulty: 97.6, Opponent Quality: 69.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

1.64

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
50.6

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8

69.3

Attack: 47.3, Defense: 98.5, Form: 70.9

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

5
2

46-60'

2

61-75'

3

76-90+'

1
Mainz 05
Arsenal
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.8
Consistency 38.8
Arsenal

Power Rating Breakdown

69.3

Overall

Attack 47.3
Defense 98.5
Form 70.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.4 vs 97.6

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 69.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 20%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
W
Heidenheim (67%)
L
Union Berlin (58%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (70%)
L
Strasbourg (62%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Arsenal logo Arsenal
D
Paris SG (81%)
W
Crystal Palace (68%)
W
Burnley (48%)
W
West Ham (70%)
W
Atlético (65%)
W
Fulham (64%)
D
Atlético (70%)
W
Newcastle (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
67%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
58%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
70%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
62%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
57%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
68%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Paris SG A
1 - 1 D
81%
Crystal Palace A
2 - 1 W
68%
Burnley H
1 - 0 W
48%
West Ham A
1 - 0 W
70%
Atlético H
1 - 0 W
65%
Fulham H
3 - 0 W
64%
Atlético A
1 - 1 D
70%
Newcastle H
1 - 0 W
59%
Man City A
1 - 2 L
88%
Sporting H
0 - 0 D
77%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Arsenal has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.2) compared to Mainz 05 (SoS: 57.5). This means Arsenal's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Arsenal's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Arsenal is far superior, conceding just 0.5 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Mainz 05 leaks 1.6 per match.

Arsenal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Arsenal, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Arsenal emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.3 vs 50.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Arsenal

Arsenal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

Arsenal

6W 3D 1L · 12 goals scored · 5 conceded

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