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Compare Mainz 05 vs Elche

Mainz 05 vs Elche Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Elche: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Elche Elche Away Team
Mainz 05
50.6
W L W L D L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Elche
58.0
D W L D L W W W L W

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Elche

Categories Won

5

Mainz 05

3

Draw

7

Elche

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (4 goals)
André Silva (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3

69.0

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 67.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

1.57

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
50.6

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8

58.0

Attack: 51.6, Defense: 71.4, Form: 59.5

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

61-75'

5
3

76-90+'

1
Mainz 05
Elche
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.8
Consistency 38.8
Elche

Power Rating Breakdown

58.0

Overall

Attack 51.6
Defense 71.4
Form 59.5
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.4 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 67.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
W
Heidenheim (67%)
L
Union Berlin (58%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (70%)
L
Strasbourg (62%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Elche logo Elche
D
Girona (61%)
W
Getafe (67%)
L
Betis (75%)
D
Alavés (67%)
L
Celta Vigo (61%)
W
Oviedo (59%)
W
Atlético (64%)
W
Valencia (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
67%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
58%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
70%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
62%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
57%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
68%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona A
1 - 1 D
61%
Getafe H
1 - 0 W
67%
Betis A
1 - 2 L
75%
Alavés H
1 - 1 D
67%
Celta Vigo A
1 - 3 L
61%
Oviedo A
2 - 1 W
59%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
64%
Valencia H
1 - 0 W
70%
Rayo A
0 - 1 L
82%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
66%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Elche has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Mainz 05 (SoS: 57.5). This means Elche's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Elche averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Elche has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Elche has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Elche, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Elche has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Elche

Elche

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

Elche

5W 2D 3L · 13 goals scored · 12 conceded

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