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Compare Mainz 05 vs Fortuna

Mainz 05 vs Fortuna Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Fortuna: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Fortuna Fortuna Away Team
Mainz 05
50.6
W L W L D L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Fortuna
40.5
L W L L D L L W L W

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Fortuna

Categories Won

10

Mainz 05

1

Draw

4

Fortuna

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (4 goals)
K. Sierhuis (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3

60.8

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 64.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

1.52

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
50.6

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8

40.5

Attack: 48.0, Defense: 36.9, Form: 33.2

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

4
2

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

4

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

Mainz 05
Fortuna
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.8
Consistency 38.8
Fortuna

Power Rating Breakdown

40.5

Overall

Attack 48.0
Defense 36.9
Form 33.2
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.4 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 64.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
W
Heidenheim (67%)
L
Union Berlin (58%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (70%)
L
Strasbourg (62%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Fortuna logo Fortuna
L
Utrecht (77%)
W
Zwolle (51%)
L
Feyenoord (67%)
L
Heerenveen (70%)
D
NAC (47%)
L
AZ (68%)
L
Twente (70%)
W
Volendam (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
67%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
58%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
70%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
62%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
57%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
68%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Utrecht A
0 - 2 L
77%
Zwolle H
3 - 2 W
51%
Feyenoord H
1 - 2 L
67%
Heerenveen A
1 - 2 L
70%
NAC H
1 - 1 D
47%
AZ A
0 - 2 L
68%
Twente H
1 - 2 L
70%
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
55%
Telstar H
1 - 4 L
68%
NEC A
3 - 2 W
71%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 60.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Fortuna averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Mainz 05 has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Fortuna's 2.0.

Fortuna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Fortuna

Fortuna

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

Fortuna

3W 1D 6L · 13 goals scored · 20 conceded

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