Mainz 05 vs HJK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mainz 05 vs HJK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mainz 05
Home Team
HJK
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mainz 05
Draw
HJK
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
4W, 3D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
-1
+3
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.0
0W / 2 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19
Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8
Attack: 57.4, Defense: 47.8, Form: 38.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mainz 05
HJK
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.
Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 57.5) compared to HJK (SoS: 45.6). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.
HJK holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Mainz 05's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.
Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and HJK conceding 1.5 per match.
HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.
This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mainz 05
HJK
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mainz 05
5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
HJK
4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded
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