Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mainz 05
Home Team
Hoffenheim
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mainz 05
Draw
Hoffenheim
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
4W, 3D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
-1
-5
2 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3
League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.8
0W / 2 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.3
Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8
Attack: 62.9, Defense: 35.4, Form: 47.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.
Hoffenheim has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.0) compared to Mainz 05 (SoS: 57.5). This means Hoffenheim's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Hoffenheim averaging 1.6 goals per match.
Mainz 05 has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Hoffenheim's 2.1.
Hoffenheim has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.
This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.
In the German Bundesliga (2026-04-04), Mainz 05 beat Hoffenheim 1-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Mainz 05 achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hoffenheim shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hoffenheim will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mainz 05 will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mainz 05
5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
Hoffenheim
4W 3D 3L · 16 goals scored · 21 conceded
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