Mainz vs Olomouc Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mainz vs Olomouc: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mainz
Home Team
Olomouc
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mainz
Draw
Olomouc
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
7W, 1D, 2L
28 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
+15
+11
4 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 4 matches
4W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 58.2
League Difficulty: 56.7, Opponent Quality: 54.2
1W / 3 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.32
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.1
Attack: 98.7, Defense: 60.0, Form: 63.5
Attack: 70.3, Defense: 55.0, Form: 64.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mainz
Olomouc
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Context matters here: Mainz's schedule strength (SoS: 55.8) has been notably more demanding than Olomouc's (SoS: 41.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
Offensively, Mainz outperforms Olomouc with 2.8 goals per match to 2.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Mainz giving up 1.3 and Olomouc giving up 1.2 per fixture.
Mainz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Olomouc is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: Mainz has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
🔥 Form Momentum: Olomouc is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Mainz has won 6 of their last 5, while Olomouc has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 74% win probability for Mainz. In practical terms, Mainz would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Mainz holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mainz
Olomouc
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mainz
6W 2D 2L · 28 goals scored · 13 conceded
Olomouc
7W 1D 2L · 23 goals scored · 12 conceded
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