Mainz 05 vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mainz 05 vs Thun: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mainz 05
Home Team
Thun
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mainz 05
Draw
Thun
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
3W, 1D, 6L
15 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
-1
-5
2 / 10 matches
0 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3
League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1
0W / 2 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12
Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8
Attack: 47.3, Defense: 26.6, Form: 26.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mainz 05
Thun
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.
Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 57.5) compared to Thun (SoS: 38.6). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Thun averaging 1.6 goals per match.
Mainz 05 has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Thun's 2.1.
Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.
Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mainz 05
Thun
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mainz 05
5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
Thun
3W 1D 6L · 16 goals scored · 21 conceded
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