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Compare Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg Away Team
Mainz 05
50.6
W L W L D L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Wolfsburg
41.8
L D W L D D W L L L

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Wolfsburg

Categories Won

8

Mainz 05

5

Draw

2

Wolfsburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (4 goals)
D. Pejčinović (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3

60.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 68.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

1.35

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.25

Adjusted Power Rating
50.6

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8

41.8

Attack: 40.5, Defense: 55.2, Form: 22.1

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.8
Consistency 38.8
Wolfsburg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.8

Overall

Attack 40.5
Defense 55.2
Form 22.1
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.4 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 68.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
W
Heidenheim (67%)
L
Union Berlin (58%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (70%)
L
Strasbourg (62%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Wolfsburg logo Wolfsburg
L
Paderborn (89%)
D
Paderborn (88%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Freiburg (66%)
D
M'gladbach (65%)
W
Union Berlin (63%)
L
Frankfurt (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
67%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
58%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
70%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
62%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
57%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
68%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Paderborn A
1 - 2 L
89%
Paderborn H
0 - 0 D
88%
St. Pauli A
3 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 1 L
81%
Freiburg A
1 - 1 D
66%
M'gladbach H
0 - 0 D
65%
Union Berlin A
2 - 1 W
63%
Frankfurt H
1 - 2 L
59%
Leverkusen A
3 - 6 L
70%
Bremen H
0 - 1 L
57%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 60.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Wolfsburg's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Wolfsburg conceding 1.5 per match.

Wolfsburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

Wolfsburg

2W 3D 5L · 11 goals scored · 15 conceded

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