Mainz vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mainz vs Wolfsburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mainz
Home Team
Wolfsburg
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mainz
Draw
Wolfsburg
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
4W, 3D, 3L
28 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
+15
+5
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
3W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 58.2
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 69.7
1W / 3 matches
0W / 6 matches
Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.32
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.3
Attack: 98.7, Defense: 60.0, Form: 63.5
Attack: 50.0, Defense: 75.0, Form: 42.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mainz
Wolfsburg
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.8 vs 57.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Mainz possess a formidable attacking unit, with P. Tietz accounting for 6 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.8 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
Defensively, Wolfsburg holds the advantage — allowing just 0.9 goals per game against Mainz's 1.3.
Mainz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Wolfsburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Mainz is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Mainz has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Wolfsburg has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 17.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Mainz. In practical terms, Mainz would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Mainz emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (71.5 vs 54.2) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mainz
Wolfsburg
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mainz
6W 2D 2L · 28 goals scored · 13 conceded
Wolfsburg
4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 9 conceded
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