Malta vs Greece Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.9 vs 61.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Greece's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with G. Koutsias leading the charge with 3 goals. Malta manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, Greece is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 1 clean sheets, while Malta leaks 2.6 per match.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Greece is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (81.6), defense (66.8), and form (55.6) leaves little room for doubt. Malta will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In their recent UEFA Under 21 Championship Qualifiers match (2026-03-27), Greece prevailed 5-0 against Malta. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Greece secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Greece completely dominated Malta in that encounter, raising serious questions about Malta's ability to compete at this level. Malta will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Greece will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.