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Compare Sundowns vs Orbit

Sundowns vs Orbit Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sundowns vs Orbit: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sundowns Sundowns Home Team
Orbit Orbit Away Team
Sundowns
47.2
W D W D L D L W D W

Last 10 Matches

Orbit
32.0
L L D W D L D L L L

Performance Radar

Sundowns
Orbit

Categories Won

9

Sundowns

4

Draw

2

Orbit

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

0.5

5 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-9

-9

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. León (6 goals)
G. Khoto (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 1
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.5

47.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 49.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.72

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.38

0.49

Actual: 0.5 | Diff: +0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
47.2

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 42.5, Form: 34.0

32.0

Attack: 16.3, Defense: 52.1, Form: 9.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2

16-30'

3
5

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3

76-90+'

Sundowns
Orbit
Sundowns

Power Rating Breakdown

47.2

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 42.5
Form 34.0
Consistency 56.8
Orbit

Power Rating Breakdown

32.0

Overall

Attack 16.3
Defense 52.1
Form 9.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

48.5 vs 49.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Sundowns logo Sundowns
W
Gallants (41%)
D
Chiefs (54%)
W
Galaxy (46%)
D
MC Alger (42%)
L
Hilal (74%)
D
Hertha (50%)
L
Galaxy (46%)
W
Siwelele (43%)
Orbit logo Orbit
L
Pirates (58%)
L
Stellenbosch (52%)
D
AmaZulu (51%)
W
Magesi (43%)
D
Durban City (41%)
L
Arrows (53%)
D
Gallants (46%)
L
Chiefs (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gallants H
2 - 0 W
41%
Chiefs A
1 - 1 D
54%
Galaxy A
3 - 2 W
46%
MC Alger H
1 - 1 D
42%
Hilal A
0 - 2 L
74%
Hertha A
1 - 1 D
50%
Galaxy A
2 - 3 L
46%
Siwelele H
7 - 4 W
43%
Chiefs H
1 - 1 D
49%
Polokwane H
3 - 0 W
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pirates H
0 - 2 L
58%
Stellenbosch A
0 - 2 L
52%
AmaZulu H
0 - 0 D
51%
Magesi A
2 - 1 W
43%
Durban City A
1 - 1 D
41%
Arrows H
1 - 2 L
53%
Gallants A
0 - 0 D
46%
Chiefs H
1 - 3 L
49%
Siwelele A
0 - 1 L
48%
Sundowns H
0 - 2 L
52%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Context matters here: Orbit's schedule strength (SoS: 47.6) has been notably more demanding than Sundowns's (SoS: 35.0), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Sundowns's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with B. León leading the charge (6 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Sundowns and Orbit are evenly matched, allowing 1.5 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Orbit has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Sundowns has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Orbit is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Sundowns is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Orbit shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Sundowns faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Orbit can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sundowns. In practical terms, Sundowns would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Sundowns holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 47.2 against 32.0 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent South Africa PSL match (2026-03-10), Sundowns prevailed 0-2 against Orbit. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Sundowns achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Orbit shows genuine quality and mental strength. Orbit will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sundowns will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sundowns

Sundowns

VS
Orbit

Orbit

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Sundowns

4W 4D 2L · 21 goals scored · 15 conceded

Orbit

1W 3D 6L · 5 goals scored · 14 conceded

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