Man Utd vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Man Utd vs Arsenal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Man Utd
Home Team
Arsenal
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Man Utd
Draw
Arsenal
Statistical Comparison
1W, 3D, 6L
6W, 1D, 3L
7 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
-8
+12
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
4W / 5 matches
0W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 53.9
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.9
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 0.7 | Diff: +0.06
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.35
Attack: 23.4, Defense: 50.2, Form: 10.0
Attack: 72.8, Defense: 60.1, Form: 56.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Man Utd
Arsenal
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.3 vs 44.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Arsenal's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with A. Russo leading the charge (8 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.
Arsenal's backline outperforms Man Utd's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.
Man Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Arsenal has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Arsenal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Man Utd is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Arsenal has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Arsenal is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Man Utd shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 26.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Arsenal. In practical terms, Arsenal would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Arsenal emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (60.4 vs 33.8) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Man Utd
Arsenal
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Man Utd
1W 3D 6L · 7 goals scored · 15 conceded
Arsenal
6W 1D 3L · 23 goals scored · 11 conceded
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