Mauritania vs Sudan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 49.8 vs 54.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Mauritania holds the attacking edge with 0.6 goals per match versus Sudan's 0.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Mauritania has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Sudan's 1.6.

Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 1.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mauritania is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 77% win probability for Mauritania. In practical terms, Mauritania would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Mauritania holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.