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Compare Mazatlán vs Chivas

Mazatlán vs Chivas Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mazatlán vs Chivas: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mazatlán Mazatlán Home Team
Chivas Chivas Away Team
Mazatlán
35.9
L W D L L D L W L W

Last 10 Matches

Chivas
41.8
W L L D W L D D W L

Performance Radar

Mazatlán
Chivas

Categories Won

7

Mazatlán

4

Draw

4

Chivas

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

0

0

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Ovalle (4 goals)
S. Sandoval (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.6

League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 57.2

43.4

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 55.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.5

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: 0.0

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
35.9

Attack: 47.8, Defense: 22.3, Form: 28.7

41.8

Attack: 40.5, Defense: 52.9, Form: 28.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

4
3

31-45'

4

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

4
Mazatlán
Chivas
Mazatlán

Power Rating Breakdown

35.9

Overall

Attack 47.8
Defense 22.3
Form 28.7
Consistency 49.3
Chivas

Power Rating Breakdown

41.8

Overall

Attack 40.5
Defense 52.9
Form 28.0
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.0 vs 60.2

Opponent Quality

57.2 vs 55.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Mazatlán logo Mazatlán
L
Tigres (58%)
W
Toluca (45%)
D
Querétaro (61%)
L
Pumas (61%)
L
Necaxa (60%)
D
Cruz Azul (70%)
L
Club América (61%)
W
León (46%)
Chivas logo Chivas
W
Juárez (38%)
L
Toluca (38%)
L
Cruz Azul (70%)
D
Cruz Azul (75%)
W
Tigres (53%)
L
Tigres (58%)
D
Tijuana (63%)
D
Necaxa (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tigres A
1 - 5 L
58%
Toluca H
4 - 3 W
45%
Querétaro H
1 - 1 D
61%
Pumas A
1 - 3 L
61%
Necaxa A
1 - 2 L
60%
Cruz Azul H
1 - 1 D
70%
Club América A
0 - 2 L
61%
León H
4 - 2 W
46%
San Luis A
1 - 4 L
51%
Pachuca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Juárez H
1 - 0 W
38%
Toluca H
0 - 2 L
38%
Cruz Azul H
1 - 2 L
70%
Cruz Azul A
2 - 2 D
75%
Tigres H
2 - 0 W
53%
Tigres A
1 - 3 L
58%
Tijuana H
0 - 0 D
63%
Necaxa A
0 - 0 D
60%
Puebla H
5 - 0 W
38%
Tigres A
1 - 4 L
58%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.6 vs 43.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mazatlán averaging 1.5 and Chivas averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Defensively, Chivas is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Mazatlán leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Chivas. In practical terms, Chivas would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Chivas, with a 5.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mazatlán

Mazatlán

VS
Chivas

Chivas

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mazatlán

3W 2D 5L · 15 goals scored · 23 conceded

Chivas

3W 3D 4L · 13 goals scored · 13 conceded

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