Mazatlán vs Pachuca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Context matters here: Pachuca's schedule strength (SoS: 56.2) has been notably more demanding than Mazatlán's (SoS: 45.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Mazatlán (1.5 goals per match) and Pachuca (1.6 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Pachuca is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Mazatlán leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Pachuca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Pachuca has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Pachuca is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Mazatlán shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Pachuca. In practical terms, Pachuca would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Pachuca emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (58.2 vs 35.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Liga MX match (2026-02-28), Mazatlán prevailed 1-0 against Pachuca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Mazatlán secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Pachuca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mazatlán will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.