Mazatlán vs Querétaro Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.6 vs 42.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Mazatlán outperforms Querétaro with 1.5 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Querétaro — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Mazatlán, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Querétaro has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Querétaro. In practical terms, Querétaro would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Querétaro, with a 12.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Liga MX (2026-04-18). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.