Melbourne City vs Macarthur Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Melbourne City vs Macarthur: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Melbourne City
Home Team
Macarthur
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Melbourne City
Draw
Macarthur
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
3W, 1D, 6L
15 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
+2
-8
3 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.4
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.08
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.05
Attack: 47.6, Defense: 53.9, Form: 47.6
Attack: 48.2, Defense: 22.5, Form: 28.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Melbourne City
Macarthur
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.2 vs 46.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Melbourne City (1.5 goals per match) and Macarthur (1.5 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Melbourne City — 1.3 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Macarthur, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.
Melbourne City has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Macarthur has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Melbourne City has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Melbourne City. In practical terms, Melbourne City would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Melbourne City holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Melbourne City
Macarthur
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Melbourne City
5W 2D 3L · 15 goals scored · 13 conceded
Macarthur
3W 1D 6L · 15 goals scored · 23 conceded
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