Merthyr vs Curzon Ashton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Merthyr vs Curzon Ashton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Merthyr
Home Team
Curzon Ashton
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Merthyr
Draw
Curzon Ashton
Statistical Comparison
2W, 2D, 6L
1W, 4D, 5L
15 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
-6
-11
1 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 6 matches
0W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 34.5, Opponent Quality: 45.1
League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 42.3
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.08
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.16
Attack: 45.5, Defense: 27.3, Form: 18.2
Attack: 29.3, Defense: 26.4, Form: 8.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Merthyr
Curzon Ashton
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.9 vs 38.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Offensively, Merthyr outperforms Curzon Ashton with 1.5 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Both defenses are comparable, with Merthyr conceding 2.1 and Curzon Ashton conceding 2.1 per match.
Merthyr has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Curzon Ashton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Merthyr is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Curzon Ashton is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Merthyr faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If Curzon Ashton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Merthyr. In practical terms, Merthyr would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Merthyr has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Merthyr
Curzon Ashton
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Merthyr
2W 2D 6L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded
Curzon Ashton
1W 4D 5L · 10 goals scored · 21 conceded
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