Millwall vs Derby Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Millwall vs Derby: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Millwall
Home Team
Derby
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Millwall
Draw
Derby
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 4L
6W, 0D, 4L
11 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+2
+4
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 3 matches
3W / 4 matches
2W / 7 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 53.1
League Difficulty: 63.0, Opponent Quality: 59.8
0W / 0 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.16
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.17
Attack: 38.4, Defense: 73.3, Form: 41.9
Attack: 48.1, Defense: 60.9, Form: 57.7
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Millwall
Derby
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.7 vs 46.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Derby outperforms Millwall with 1.5 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Defensively, Millwall and Derby are evenly matched, allowing 0.9 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.
Millwall has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Derby has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
📈 Form Momentum: Derby has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: Millwall's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Millwall
Derby
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Millwall
4W 2D 4L · 11 goals scored · 9 conceded
Derby
6W 0D 4L · 15 goals scored · 11 conceded
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