Millwall vs Hull City Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Hull City has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 68.9 against considerably stronger competition than Millwall (SoS: 51.8). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Millwall (1.1 goals per match) and Hull City (1.4 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Hull City's backline outperforms Millwall's, with 0.5 goals conceded per match versus 0.9.

Millwall has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hull City is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 1.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Hull City has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hull City. In practical terms, Hull City would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Hull City holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 72.0 against 47.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Championship match (2026-05-11), Hull City prevailed 0-2 against Millwall. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hull City achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Millwall shows genuine quality and mental strength. Millwall will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hull City will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Championship (2026-05-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.