Mirassol vs Coritiba Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mirassol vs Coritiba: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mirassol
Home Team
Coritiba
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mirassol
Draw
Coritiba
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
3W, 3D, 4L
12 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
+2
-3
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 61.1, Opponent Quality: 51.5
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 59.1
0W / 1 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.12
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.04
Attack: 37.0, Defense: 61.7, Form: 46.2
Attack: 48.9, Defense: 39.2, Form: 29.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mirassol
Coritiba
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.5 vs 47.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Coritiba leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Mirassol's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Mirassol holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Coritiba's leaky backline that surrenders 1.8 goals per match.
Mirassol has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Mirassol has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Mirassol faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Coritiba can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Mirassol. In practical terms, Mirassol would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Mirassol, with a 5.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mirassol
Coritiba
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mirassol
5W 2D 3L · 12 goals scored · 10 conceded
Coritiba
3W 3D 4L · 15 goals scored · 18 conceded
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