Mjällby vs Örgryte Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mjällby vs Örgryte: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mjällby
Home Team
Örgryte
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mjällby
Draw
Örgryte
Statistical Comparison
3W, 4D, 3L
1W, 3D, 6L
18 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
+4
-13
2 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 54.7, Opponent Quality: 54.3
League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 50.4
1W / 2 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.12
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.01
Attack: 62.0, Defense: 55.1, Form: 31.0
Attack: 26.3, Defense: 23.4, Form: 8.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mjällby
Örgryte
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.
Mjällby has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.4) compared to Örgryte (SoS: 37.6). This means Mjällby's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Offensively, Mjällby outperforms Örgryte with 1.8 goals per match to 0.9, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Mjällby holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.4 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Örgryte's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.
Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Örgryte is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Mjällby faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Örgryte can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 22.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Mjällby. In practical terms, Mjällby would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Mjällby emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (50.4 vs 27.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mjällby
Örgryte
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mjällby
3W 4D 3L · 18 goals scored · 14 conceded
Örgryte
1W 3D 6L · 9 goals scored · 22 conceded
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