Mohammedan vs Punjab Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.6 vs 42.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Punjab holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Mohammedan's 0.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Punjab holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Mohammedan's leaky backline that surrenders 2.4 goals per match.

Mohammedan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Punjab has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mohammedan is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Punjab has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Punjab is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Mohammedan shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Punjab. In practical terms, Punjab would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Punjab holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 51.3 against 24.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Indian Super League match (2026-04-03), Punjab prevailed 2-1 against Mohammedan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Punjab secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Mohammedan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Punjab will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.