Mohun Bagan vs Odisha Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (44.9 vs 45.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mohun Bagan averaging 1.4 and Odisha averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Defensively, Mohun Bagan is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Odisha leaks 1.6 goals per match.

Mohun Bagan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Odisha has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Mohun Bagan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Odisha is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Mohun Bagan. In practical terms, Mohun Bagan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Mohun Bagan, with a 14.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Indian Super League match (2026-03-06), Mohun Bagan prevailed 5-1 against Odisha. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Mohun Bagan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Mohun Bagan completely dominated Odisha in that encounter, raising serious questions about Odisha's ability to compete at this level. Odisha will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mohun Bagan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.