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Compare Molde vs Lillestrøm

Molde vs Lillestrøm Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Molde vs Lillestrøm: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Molde Molde Home Team
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Away Team
Molde
45.5
W L W L W W D W L L

Last 10 Matches

Lillestrøm
50.9
L L W L W L W D W W

Performance Radar

Molde
Lillestrøm

Categories Won

6

Molde

3

Draw

6

Lillestrøm

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Breivik (5 goals)
M. Karlsbakk (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.9

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

48.7

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 47.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.04

1.26

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
45.5

Attack: 46.9, Defense: 49.8, Form: 44.0

50.9

Attack: 46.1, Defense: 65.8, Form: 49.4

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

5

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

1
1

76-90+'

6
Molde
Lillestrøm
Molde

Power Rating Breakdown

45.5

Overall

Attack 46.9
Defense 49.8
Form 44.0
Consistency 38.8
Lillestrøm

Power Rating Breakdown

50.9

Overall

Attack 46.1
Defense 65.8
Form 49.4
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 50.0

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 47.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Molde logo Molde
W
Sandefjord (47%)
L
Sarpsborg (47%)
W
Kristiansund (37%)
L
Tromsø (55%)
W
Bodø/Glimt (67%)
W
Vålerenga (42%)
D
Start (38%)
W
HamKam (52%)
Lillestrøm logo Lillestrøm
L
HamKam (57%)
L
Kristiansund (37%)
W
Sandefjord (47%)
L
Rosenborg (44%)
W
Sarpsborg (42%)
L
Bodø/Glimt (62%)
W
Vålerenga (47%)
D
Tromsø (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sandefjord H
2 - 1 W
47%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 2 L
47%
Kristiansund H
1 - 0 W
37%
Tromsø A
0 - 2 L
55%
Bodø/Glimt A
1 - 0 W
67%
Vålerenga H
5 - 1 W
42%
Start A
1 - 1 D
38%
HamKam H
4 - 1 W
52%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 1 L
51%
Viking A
1 - 4 L
76%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
HamKam A
0 - 2 L
57%
Kristiansund H
1 - 2 L
37%
Sandefjord H
3 - 1 W
47%
Rosenborg A
0 - 2 L
44%
Sarpsborg H
4 - 0 W
42%
Bodø/Glimt H
0 - 2 L
62%
Vålerenga A
2 - 0 W
47%
Tromsø A
0 - 0 D
55%
Start H
3 - 1 W
32%
Molde A
1 - 0 W
56%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Lillestrøm has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 48.7) compared to Molde (SoS: 37.9). This means Lillestrøm's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Molde averaging 1.6 and Lillestrøm averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Lillestrøm has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Molde's 1.3.

Lillestrøm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Molde, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lillestrøm has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-04-06), Lillestrøm prevailed 0-1 against Molde. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Lillestrøm achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Molde shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Molde will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lillestrøm will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Molde

Molde

VS
Lillestrøm

Lillestrøm

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Molde

5W 1D 4L · 16 goals scored · 13 conceded

Lillestrøm

5W 1D 4L · 14 goals scored · 10 conceded

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