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Compare Molde vs Sarpsborg

Molde vs Sarpsborg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Molde vs Sarpsborg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Molde Molde Home Team
Sarpsborg Sarpsborg Away Team
Molde
45.5
W L W L W W D W L L

Last 10 Matches

Sarpsborg
38.8
W W L W L L L D L D

Performance Radar

Molde
Sarpsborg

Categories Won

9

Molde

3

Draw

3

Sarpsborg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Breivik (5 goals)
V. Halvorsen (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 2
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.9

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

49.2

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 48.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.04

1.15

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
45.5

Attack: 46.9, Defense: 49.8, Form: 44.0

38.8

Attack: 36.4, Defense: 46.3, Form: 29.8

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

4
5

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1

76-90+'

1
Molde
Sarpsborg
Molde

Power Rating Breakdown

45.5

Overall

Attack 46.9
Defense 49.8
Form 44.0
Consistency 38.8
Sarpsborg

Power Rating Breakdown

38.8

Overall

Attack 36.4
Defense 46.3
Form 29.8
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 50.0

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 48.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Molde logo Molde
W
Sandefjord (47%)
L
Sarpsborg (47%)
W
Kristiansund (37%)
L
Tromsø (55%)
W
Bodø/Glimt (67%)
W
Vålerenga (42%)
D
Start (38%)
W
HamKam (52%)
Sarpsborg logo Sarpsborg
W
Brann (54%)
W
Molde (51%)
L
Vålerenga (47%)
W
Fredrikstad (47%)
L
Lillestrøm (56%)
L
KFUM (44%)
L
Tromsø (50%)
D
Bodø/Glimt (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sandefjord H
2 - 1 W
47%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 2 L
47%
Kristiansund H
1 - 0 W
37%
Tromsø A
0 - 2 L
55%
Bodø/Glimt A
1 - 0 W
67%
Vålerenga H
5 - 1 W
42%
Start A
1 - 1 D
38%
HamKam H
4 - 1 W
52%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 1 L
51%
Viking A
1 - 4 L
76%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brann A
2 - 1 W
54%
Molde H
2 - 1 W
51%
Vålerenga A
2 - 3 L
47%
Fredrikstad H
2 - 1 W
47%
Lillestrøm A
0 - 4 L
56%
KFUM A
0 - 1 L
44%
Tromsø H
0 - 1 L
50%
Bodø/Glimt H
1 - 1 D
62%
Rosenborg A
1 - 2 L
44%
Start H
1 - 1 D
32%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Sarpsborg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 49.2) compared to Molde (SoS: 37.9). This means Sarpsborg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Molde holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Sarpsborg's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Molde has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Sarpsborg's 1.6.

Sarpsborg has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Molde, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Molde has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-05-25), Sarpsborg prevailed 2-1 against Molde. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Sarpsborg secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Molde will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sarpsborg will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Molde

Molde

VS
Sarpsborg

Sarpsborg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Molde

5W 1D 4L · 16 goals scored · 13 conceded

Sarpsborg

3W 2D 5L · 11 goals scored · 16 conceded

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