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Compare Molde vs Thun

Molde vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Molde vs Thun: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Molde Molde Home Team
Thun Thun Away Team
Molde
45.5
W L W L W W D W L L

Last 10 Matches

Thun
35.7
D L L L L W L L W W

Performance Radar

Molde
Thun

Categories Won

9

Molde

3

Draw

3

Thun

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Breivik (5 goals)
E. Rastoder (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.9

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

38.6

League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.56

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.04

1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
45.5

Attack: 46.9, Defense: 49.8, Form: 44.0

35.7

Attack: 47.3, Defense: 26.6, Form: 26.6

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

4
5

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

3
1

76-90+'

3
Molde
Thun
Molde

Power Rating Breakdown

45.5

Overall

Attack 46.9
Defense 49.8
Form 44.0
Consistency 38.8
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

35.7

Overall

Attack 47.3
Defense 26.6
Form 26.6
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 51.0

Opponent Quality

51.2 vs 52.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Molde logo Molde
W
Sandefjord (47%)
L
Sarpsborg (47%)
W
Kristiansund (37%)
L
Tromsø (55%)
W
Bodø/Glimt (67%)
W
Vålerenga (42%)
D
Start (38%)
W
HamKam (52%)
Thun logo Thun
D
St.Gallen (64%)
L
Young Boys (53%)
L
Sion (73%)
L
Basel (44%)
L
Lugano (58%)
W
Basel (39%)
L
Lugano (58%)
L
Zürich (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sandefjord H
2 - 1 W
47%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 2 L
47%
Kristiansund H
1 - 0 W
37%
Tromsø A
0 - 2 L
55%
Bodø/Glimt A
1 - 0 W
67%
Vålerenga H
5 - 1 W
42%
Start A
1 - 1 D
38%
HamKam H
4 - 1 W
52%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 1 L
51%
Viking A
1 - 4 L
76%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St.Gallen A
1 - 1 D
64%
Young Boys H
3 - 8 L
53%
Sion A
0 - 2 L
73%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
44%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
58%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
39%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
58%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
40%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.9 vs 38.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Molde averaging 1.6 and Thun averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Defensively, Molde is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Thun leaks 2.1 per match.

The home advantage factor favors Molde, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Molde has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Molde

Molde

VS
Thun

Thun

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Molde

5W 1D 4L · 16 goals scored · 13 conceded

Thun

3W 1D 6L · 16 goals scored · 21 conceded

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