Motherwell vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Motherwell vs St. Mirren: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Motherwell
Home Team
St. Mirren
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Motherwell
Draw
St. Mirren
Statistical Comparison
3W, 2D, 5L
5W, 2D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
-2
+7
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
1W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 68.3, Opponent Quality: 60.7
League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 59.5
1W / 2 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.32
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.14
Attack: 55.5, Defense: 48.1, Form: 33.3
Attack: 58.4, Defense: 68.7, Form: 51.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Motherwell
St. Mirren
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 61.1 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Motherwell averaging 1.5 and St. Mirren averaging 1.7 goals per match.
St. Mirren's backline outperforms Motherwell's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.
St. Mirren has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
St. Mirren is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: St. Mirren has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 10.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 77% win probability for St. Mirren. In practical terms, St. Mirren would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While St. Mirren holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
0
:
0
|
0'
Motherwell
St. Mirren
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Motherwell
3W 2D 5L · 15 goals scored · 17 conceded
St. Mirren
5W 2D 3L · 17 goals scored · 10 conceded
Popular Teams