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Compare Motherwell vs Hamilton

Motherwell vs Hamilton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Motherwell vs Hamilton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Motherwell Motherwell Home Team
Hamilton Hamilton Away Team
Motherwell
38.5
L L D W W W W W L L

Last 10 Matches

Hamilton
19.6
L L L L L L L L D L

Performance Radar

Motherwell
Hamilton

Categories Won

12

Motherwell

2

Draw

1

Hamilton

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

0%

0W, 1D, 9L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.5

25 / 10 matches

4.6

46 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

-40

-40

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

100%

10 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Boyce (7 goals)
J. Giard (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
33.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.4

33.3

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 43.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.64

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.36

0.45

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
38.5

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 13.9, Form: 41.8

19.6

Attack: 16.7, Defense: 0.0, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
5

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

1
Motherwell
Hamilton
Motherwell

Power Rating Breakdown

38.5

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 13.9
Form 41.8
Consistency 38.8
Hamilton

Power Rating Breakdown

19.6

Overall

Attack 16.7
Defense 0.0
Form 0.0
Consistency 97.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

44.4 vs 43.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Motherwell logo Motherwell
L
Hearts (62%)
L
Hibernian (71%)
D
Aberdeen (29%)
W
Montrose (46%)
W
Hamilton (25%)
W
Hamilton (20%)
W
Montrose (41%)
W
Aberdeen (34%)
Hamilton logo Hamilton
L
Montrose (41%)
L
Aberdeen (34%)
L
Motherwell (45%)
L
Motherwell (50%)
L
Aberdeen (29%)
L
Montrose (46%)
L
Partick (32%)
L
Rangers (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hearts H
0 - 5 L
62%
Hibernian A
0 - 7 L
71%
Aberdeen H
2 - 2 D
29%
Montrose A
2 - 1 W
46%
Hamilton A
3 - 0 W
25%
Hamilton H
4 - 0 W
20%
Montrose H
5 - 1 W
41%
Aberdeen A
4 - 3 W
34%
Glasgow City H
0 - 4 L
45%
Hibernian A
0 - 2 L
71%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Montrose H
0 - 5 L
41%
Aberdeen A
0 - 4 L
34%
Motherwell H
0 - 3 L
45%
Motherwell A
0 - 4 L
50%
Aberdeen H
2 - 3 L
29%
Montrose A
0 - 6 L
46%
Partick A
2 - 3 L
32%
Rangers H
0 - 11 L
59%
Aberdeen H
2 - 2 D
29%
Hibernian A
0 - 5 L
71%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 33.5 vs 33.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Motherwell in front of goal. Their 2.0 average per fixture tells the story, with C. Boyce driving that output personally responsible for 7 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Motherwell is far superior, conceding just 2.5 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Hamilton leaks 4.6 goals per match.

Motherwell is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Motherwell has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Hamilton is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Motherwell is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Hamilton shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Motherwell faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.5 goals per match. If Hamilton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Motherwell. In practical terms, Motherwell would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Motherwell holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 38.5 against 19.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-04-26), Motherwell prevailed 0-3 against Hamilton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Motherwell achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hamilton shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Motherwell completely dominated Hamilton in that encounter, raising serious questions about Hamilton's ability to compete at this level. Hamilton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Motherwell will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-04-05), Motherwell prevailed 4-0 against Hamilton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Motherwell secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Motherwell completely dominated Hamilton in that encounter, raising serious questions about Hamilton's ability to compete at this level. Hamilton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Motherwell will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Motherwell

Motherwell

VS
Hamilton

Hamilton

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Motherwell

5W 1D 4L · 20 goals scored · 25 conceded

Hamilton

0W 1D 9L · 6 goals scored · 46 conceded

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