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Compare Nacional vs Tolima

Nacional vs Tolima Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nacional vs Tolima: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nacional Nacional Home Team
Tolima Tolima Away Team
Nacional
41.3
W D L L W D

Last 10 Matches

Tolima
45.4
D L W W L D W L L W

Performance Radar

Nacional
Tolima

Categories Won

7

Nacional

2

Draw

6

Tolima

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
33%

2W, 2D, 2L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

7 / 6 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

9 / 6 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
33%

2 / 6 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

3 / 6 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

3 / 6 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Gómez (3 goals)
L. Sandoval (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 3 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.7

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.8

45.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.99

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.18

0.94

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
41.3

Attack: 38.7, Defense: 48.4, Form: 31.9

45.4

Attack: 31.9, Defense: 70.3, Form: 38.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
1

76-90+'

5
Nacional
Tolima
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

41.3

Overall

Attack 38.7
Defense 48.4
Form 31.9
Consistency 53.3
Tolima

Power Rating Breakdown

45.4

Overall

Attack 31.9
Defense 70.3
Form 38.3
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

47.8 vs 46.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Nacional logo Nacional
W
Coquimbo (48%)
D
Universitario (43%)
L
Tolima (52%)
L
Universitario (46%)
W
Tolima (47%)
D
Coquimbo (51%)
Tolima logo Tolima
D
Universitario (46%)
L
Coquimbo (51%)
W
Nacional (44%)
W
Coquimbo (48%)
L
Nacional (47%)
D
Universitario (43%)
W
O'Higgins (45%)
L
O'Higgins (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Coquimbo H
1 - 0 W
48%
Universitario H
0 - 0 D
43%
Tolima A
0 - 3 L
52%
Universitario A
2 - 4 L
46%
Tolima H
3 - 1 W
47%
Coquimbo A
1 - 1 D
51%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Universitario A
0 - 0 D
46%
Coquimbo A
0 - 3 L
51%
Nacional H
3 - 0 W
44%
Coquimbo H
3 - 0 W
48%
Nacional A
1 - 3 L
47%
Universitario H
0 - 0 D
43%
O'Higgins H
2 - 0 W
45%
O'Higgins A
0 - 1 L
47%
Táchira H
0 - 1 L
45%
Táchira A
1 - 0 W
47%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.7 vs 45.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Nacional averaging 1.2 and Tolima averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Tolima has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Nacional's 1.5.

Nacional has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tolima has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-05-07), Tolima came out on top with a 3-0 victory over Nacional. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Tolima secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Tolima completely dominated Nacional in that encounter, raising serious questions about Nacional's ability to compete at this level. Nacional will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tolima will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-04-14), Nacional came out on top with a 3-1 victory over Tolima. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Nacional secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Tolima will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nacional will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nacional

Nacional

VS
Tolima

Tolima

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Nacional

2W 2D 2L · 7 goals scored · 9 conceded

Tolima

4W 2D 4L · 10 goals scored · 8 conceded

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