Nacional vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Nacional vs Casa Pia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Nacional
Home Team
Casa Pia
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Nacional
Draw
Casa Pia
Statistical Comparison
3W, 3D, 4L
3W, 3D, 4L
10 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
-2
0
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 65.4, Opponent Quality: 59.3
League Difficulty: 65.4, Opponent Quality: 57.2
0W / 2 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.06
Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.06
Attack: 32.3, Defense: 58.1, Form: 29.1
Attack: 25.8, Defense: 84.7, Form: 33.1
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Nacional
Casa Pia
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Casa Pia has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 60.5) compared to Nacional (SoS: 46.9). This means Casa Pia's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Nacional holds the attacking edge with 1.0 goals per match versus Casa Pia's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Casa Pia's backline outperforms Nacional's, with 0.7 goals conceded per match versus 1.2.
Casa Pia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 1.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Casa Pia. In practical terms, Casa Pia would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Casa Pia has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Nacional
Casa Pia
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Nacional
3W 3D 4L · 10 goals scored · 12 conceded
Casa Pia
3W 3D 4L · 7 goals scored · 7 conceded
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