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Compare Nairn vs Brechin

Nairn vs Brechin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nairn vs Brechin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nairn Nairn Home Team
Brechin Brechin Away Team
Nairn
36.4
W D W L L L L W L W

Last 10 Matches

Brechin
33.4
L L L L L L W W W D

Performance Radar

Nairn
Brechin

Categories Won

7

Nairn

3

Draw

5

Brechin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Brindle (2 goals)
G. McGrath (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
57%

4W / 7 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 3 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
33.1

League Difficulty: 27.0, Opponent Quality: 37.1

40.3

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.07

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.23

0.93

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
36.4

Attack: 36.0, Defense: 38.8, Form: 33.2

33.4

Attack: 36.1, Defense: 30.1, Form: 27.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
7

76-90+'

4
Nairn
Brechin
Nairn

Power Rating Breakdown

36.4

Overall

Attack 36.0
Defense 38.8
Form 33.2
Consistency 39.7
Brechin

Power Rating Breakdown

33.4

Overall

Attack 36.1
Defense 30.1
Form 27.1
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

27.0 vs 33.0

Opponent Quality

37.1 vs 45.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Nairn logo Nairn
W
Rothes (10%)
D
Ross County (53%)
W
Banks O' Dee (44%)
L
Fraserburgh (51%)
L
Brechin (33%)
L
Turriff Utd (45%)
L
Brechin (28%)
W
Strathspey (29%)
Brechin logo Brechin
L
Forfar (49%)
L
Stenhousemuir (51%)
L
Livingston (48%)
L
Partick (60%)
L
Turriff Utd (45%)
L
Brora Rangers (34%)
W
Nairn (34%)
W
Forres (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rothes H
3 - 0 W
10%
Ross County H
2 - 2 D
53%
Banks O' Dee H
2 - 0 W
44%
Fraserburgh H
0 - 1 L
51%
Brechin A
0 - 3 L
33%
Turriff Utd A
2 - 3 L
45%
Brechin H
1 - 4 L
28%
Strathspey H
2 - 1 W
29%
Keith A
0 - 2 L
56%
Lossiemouth H
1 - 0 W
22%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forfar A
1 - 3 L
49%
Stenhousemuir H
1 - 2 L
51%
Livingston H
0 - 2 L
48%
Partick A
0 - 6 L
60%
Turriff Utd A
1 - 4 L
45%
Brora Rangers A
1 - 2 L
34%
Nairn H
3 - 0 W
34%
Forres A
1 - 0 W
38%
Nairn A
4 - 1 W
39%
Formartine Utd H
0 - 0 D
53%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (33.1 vs 40.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Nairn averaging 1.3 and Brechin averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Nairn has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Brechin's 2.0.

Nairn has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Brechin has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Brechin's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-04-04), Brechin prevailed 3-0 against Nairn. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Brechin secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Brechin completely dominated Nairn in that encounter, raising serious questions about Nairn's ability to compete at this level. Nairn will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Brechin will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-03-28), Brechin prevailed 1-4 against Nairn. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Brechin achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Nairn shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Brechin completely dominated Nairn in that encounter, raising serious questions about Nairn's ability to compete at this level. Nairn will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Brechin will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nairn

Nairn

VS
Brechin

Brechin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Nairn

4W 1D 5L · 13 goals scored · 16 conceded

Brechin

3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 20 conceded

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