Nancy vs Thionville Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Nancy vs Thionville: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Nancy
Home Team
Thionville
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Nancy
Draw
Thionville
Statistical Comparison
1W, 4D, 0L
0W, 1D, 0L
9 / 5 matches
2 / 1 matches
4 / 5 matches
2 / 1 matches
+5
0
2 / 5 matches
0 / 1 matches
2 / 5 matches
1 / 1 matches
3 / 5 matches
1 / 1 matches
1W / 3 matches
0W / 0 matches
0W / 2 matches
0W / 1 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 43.8
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 52.0
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.03
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.02
Attack: 56.6, Defense: 69.2, Form: 18.9
Attack: 66.1, Defense: 33.1, Form: 0.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Nancy
Thionville
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.3 vs 49.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Nancy (1.8 goals per match) and Thionville (2.0 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Nancy holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Thionville's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.
Nancy has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Thionville has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Nancy is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Thionville is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 1 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 16.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Nancy. In practical terms, Nancy would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Nancy emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (52.0 vs 35.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
These two teams drew 2-2 in the Club Friendlies (2026-07-18). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Nancy
Thionville
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Nancy
1W 4D 0L · 9 goals scored · 4 conceded
Thionville
0W 1D 0L · 2 goals scored · 2 conceded
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