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Compare Nashville vs Charlotte

Nashville vs Charlotte Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nashville vs Charlotte: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nashville Nashville Home Team
Charlotte Charlotte Away Team
Nashville
73.2
W W W D L W W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Charlotte
57.9
W D W L W D W W L D

Performance Radar

Nashville
Charlotte

Categories Won

8

Nashville

4

Draw

3

Charlotte

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
80%

8W, 1D, 1L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
H. Mukhtar (6 goals)
Pep Biel (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
100%

6W / 6 matches

57%

4W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.3

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.5

51.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 49.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.01

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.01

2.06

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
73.2

Attack: 68.2, Defense: 71.6, Form: 81.8

57.9

Attack: 67.7, Defense: 57.6, Form: 50.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5
4

16-30'

5
4

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

2
Nashville
Charlotte
Nashville

Power Rating Breakdown

73.2

Overall

Attack 68.2
Defense 71.6
Form 81.8
Consistency 68.5
Charlotte

Power Rating Breakdown

57.9

Overall

Attack 67.7
Defense 57.6
Form 50.8
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

50.5 vs 49.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Nashville logo Nashville
W
Columbus (40%)
W
New York (54%)
W
Inter Miami (60%)
D
DC United (48%)
L
Orlando (54%)
W
Montréal (45%)
W
Atlanta United (44%)
W
NYCFC (54%)
Charlotte logo Charlotte
W
DC United (44%)
D
Toronto (49%)
W
Columbus (40%)
L
Chicago (61%)
W
New York (54%)
D
Atlanta United (44%)
W
New England (48%)
W
Toronto (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Columbus H
3 - 2 W
40%
New York A
1 - 0 W
54%
Inter Miami H
4 - 1 W
60%
DC United A
2 - 2 D
48%
Orlando A
0 - 1 L
54%
Montréal H
1 - 0 W
45%
Atlanta United H
1 - 0 W
44%
NYCFC H
2 - 1 W
54%
LAFC H
3 - 2 W
53%
New England A
3 - 0 W
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
DC United H
3 - 1 W
44%
Toronto A
3 - 3 D
49%
Columbus H
3 - 1 W
40%
Chicago A
1 - 2 L
61%
New York A
2 - 0 W
54%
Atlanta United H
2 - 2 D
44%
New England H
1 - 0 W
48%
Toronto H
3 - 1 W
44%
NYCFC H
0 - 1 L
54%
Cincinnati H
2 - 2 D
56%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.3 vs 51.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Nashville averaging 2.0 and Charlotte averaging 2.0 goals per match.

Defensively, Nashville holds the advantage — allowing just 0.9 goals per game against Charlotte's 1.3.

Nashville has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Charlotte has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Nashville has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Nashville is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Charlotte has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Nashville is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Charlotte shows signs of decline with 5W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Nashville. In practical terms, Nashville would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Nashville in this contest. Their superior power rating of 73.2, compared to 57.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nashville

Nashville

VS
Charlotte

Charlotte

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Nashville

8W 1D 1L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded

Charlotte

5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 13 conceded

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