NEC vs Fayha Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

NEC has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 64.9 against considerably stronger competition than Fayha (SoS: 52.9). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

NEC possess a formidable attacking unit, with B. Linssen accounting for 4 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.3 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for NEC — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Fayha, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Fayha has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: NEC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Fayha is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. NEC is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Fayha shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 41.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for NEC. In practical terms, NEC would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: NEC holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 72.0 against 30.1 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making NEC a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-18), NEC prevailed 7-0 against Fayha. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. NEC secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 7-0 scoreline was emphatic — NEC completely dominated Fayha in that encounter, raising serious questions about Fayha's ability to compete at this level. Fayha will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. NEC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.