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Compare NEC vs Heracles

NEC vs Heracles Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NEC vs Heracles: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NEC NEC Home Team
Heracles Heracles Away Team
NEC
72.0
W W L D D D W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Heracles
24.6
L L L L L L D L D L

Performance Radar

NEC
Heracles

Categories Won

13

NEC

2

Draw

0

Heracles

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 4D, 1L

0%

0W, 2D, 8L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

0.4

4 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-19

-19

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Linssen (4 goals)
T. van Gilst (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 1
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.9

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 62.2

54.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 64.7

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.6

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.3

0.36

Actual: 0.4 | Diff: +0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
72.0

Attack: 88.1, Defense: 76.6, Form: 57.5

24.6

Attack: 13.9, Defense: 24.4, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2

46-60'

3

61-75'

3

76-90+'

1
NEC
Heracles
NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

72.0

Overall

Attack 88.1
Defense 76.6
Form 57.5
Consistency 61.3
Heracles

Power Rating Breakdown

24.6

Overall

Attack 13.9
Defense 24.4
Form 0.0
Consistency 95.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

62.2 vs 64.7

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
NEC logo NEC
W
Fayha (30%)
W
Go Ahead (61%)
L
Groningen (58%)
D
Telstar (68%)
D
Twente (68%)
D
Feyenoord (73%)
W
Excelsior (69%)
D
Heerenveen (63%)
Heracles logo Heracles
L
Groningen (53%)
L
Telstar (73%)
L
Zwolle (54%)
L
Volendam (57%)
L
Ajax (71%)
L
Heerenveen (68%)
D
Excelsior (64%)
L
AZ (71%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fayha H
7 - 0 W
30%
Go Ahead H
2 - 1 W
61%
Groningen A
1 - 2 L
58%
Telstar H
1 - 1 D
68%
Twente A
1 - 1 D
68%
Feyenoord H
1 - 1 D
73%
Excelsior A
2 - 0 W
69%
Heerenveen H
2 - 2 D
63%
PSV A
3 - 2 W
75%
Volendam H
3 - 0 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Groningen H
1 - 2 L
53%
Telstar A
0 - 3 L
73%
Zwolle A
0 - 1 L
54%
Volendam H
0 - 2 L
57%
Ajax H
0 - 3 L
71%
Heerenveen A
1 - 4 L
68%
Excelsior H
1 - 1 D
64%
AZ A
0 - 4 L
71%
Utrecht H
0 - 0 D
66%
PSV H
1 - 3 L
70%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 64.9) compared to Heracles (SoS: 54.6). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

NEC's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with B. Linssen leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, NEC is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Heracles leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Heracles has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: NEC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Heracles is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. NEC is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Heracles shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 47.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for NEC. In practical terms, NEC would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, NEC emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 72.0 compared to 24.6, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects NEC as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NEC

NEC

VS
Heracles

Heracles

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

NEC

5W 4D 1L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded

Heracles

0W 2D 8L · 4 goals scored · 23 conceded

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