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Compare Necaxa vs Pachuca

Necaxa vs Pachuca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Necaxa vs Pachuca: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Necaxa Necaxa Home Team
Pachuca Pachuca Away Team
Necaxa
43.7
W W L D D L W W D L

Last 10 Matches

Pachuca
58.2
L W L W W W L L W W

Performance Radar

Necaxa
Pachuca

Categories Won

2

Necaxa

2

Draw

11

Pachuca

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

60%

6W, 0D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Badaloni (3 goals)
V. Guzmán (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
57%

4W / 7 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 3 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.7

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 53.2

56.2

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 53.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.23

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.03

1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
43.7

Attack: 37.1, Defense: 55.6, Form: 37.1

58.2

Attack: 56.6, Defense: 67.3, Form: 63.7

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Necaxa
Pachuca
Necaxa

Power Rating Breakdown

43.7

Overall

Attack 37.1
Defense 55.6
Form 37.1
Consistency 50.5
Pachuca

Power Rating Breakdown

58.2

Overall

Attack 56.6
Defense 67.3
Form 63.7
Consistency 35.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.2 vs 60.2

Opponent Quality

53.2 vs 53.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Necaxa logo Necaxa
W
Monterrey (35%)
W
Atlante (43%)
L
Cruz Azul (75%)
D
Chivas (52%)
D
Tigres (53%)
L
Querétaro (66%)
W
Mazatlán (46%)
W
Tijuana (63%)
Pachuca logo Pachuca
L
Querétaro (53%)
W
Pumas (53%)
L
Pumas (61%)
W
Pumas (56%)
W
Toluca (45%)
W
Toluca (50%)
L
Pumas (56%)
L
Tijuana (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Monterrey H
2 - 1 W
35%
Atlante H
2 - 1 W
43%
Cruz Azul A
1 - 4 L
75%
Chivas H
0 - 0 D
52%
Tigres H
1 - 1 D
53%
Querétaro A
1 - 3 L
66%
Mazatlán H
2 - 1 W
46%
Tijuana H
3 - 0 W
63%
Puebla A
0 - 0 D
43%
Pumas H
0 - 1 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Querétaro H
1 - 2 L
53%
Pumas A
3 - 0 W
53%
Pumas A
0 - 1 L
61%
Pumas H
1 - 0 W
56%
Toluca H
2 - 0 W
45%
Toluca A
1 - 0 W
50%
Pumas H
0 - 2 L
56%
Tijuana A
1 - 3 L
68%
Monterrey A
3 - 1 W
48%
Santos Laguna H
4 - 2 W
45%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Context matters here: Pachuca's schedule strength (SoS: 56.2) has been notably more demanding than Necaxa's (SoS: 42.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Pachuca holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Necaxa's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Necaxa giving up 1.2 and Pachuca giving up 1.1 per fixture.

Pachuca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Necaxa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Pachuca has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Pachuca. In practical terms, Pachuca would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Pachuca has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Necaxa

Necaxa

VS
Pachuca

Pachuca

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Necaxa

4W 3D 3L · 12 goals scored · 12 conceded

Pachuca

6W 0D 4L · 16 goals scored · 11 conceded

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