NEOM vs Hazem Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Hazem has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 51.0 against considerably stronger competition than NEOM (SoS: 37.6). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

The attacking output of NEOM and Hazem is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.2 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

Both defenses are comparable, with NEOM conceding 1.4 and Hazem conceding 1.3 per match.

Hazem has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hazem has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Hazem faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If NEOM can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Hazem. In practical terms, Hazem would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Hazem, with a 6.6-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Saudi Pro League (2026-04-28). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.