Nepal vs Iran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.8 vs 58.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Nepal averaging 0.6 and Iran averaging 0.7 goals per match.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Nepal giving up 1.8 and Iran giving up 1.7 per fixture.

Iran has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Nepal is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Iran is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Iran faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Nepal can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Iran's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-10-24), Iran prevailed 0-3 against Nepal. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Iran achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Nepal shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Iran completely dominated Nepal in that encounter, raising serious questions about Nepal's ability to compete at this level. Nepal will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iran will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.