NYCFC vs Charlotte Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Context matters here: Charlotte's schedule strength (SoS: 51.6) has been notably more demanding than NYCFC's (SoS: 40.9), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Charlotte outperforms NYCFC with 2.0 goals per match to 1.6, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Both defenses are comparable, with NYCFC conceding 1.2 and Charlotte conceding 1.3 per match.

Charlotte has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: NYCFC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Charlotte has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Charlotte. In practical terms, Charlotte would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Charlotte has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent US Major League Soccer match (2026-05-14), NYCFC prevailed 0-1 against Charlotte. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, NYCFC achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Charlotte shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Charlotte will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. NYCFC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.